Of setting the 'odds' and stacked decks.
It is a 'classic' summer evening; sea breeze, birds settling in for the night, sun setting (as it should) toward the West, BRB notes all sorted and the Australians won at cricket- Perfect.
"Oh, how beautiful is the summer night, which is not night, but a sunless, yet unclouded, day, descending upon earth with dews and shadows and refreshing coolness! How beautiful the long mild twilight, which, like a silver clasp, unites today with yesterday! "
I have a freshly pulled cool Ale and the stable doors are wide open, the 'beasts' are fed and watered. Perfect – DT has salad and the chops are cooked – what could possibly trouble my evening? - The 'Sand Trap' Cup is what.. Aye, smile if you will, but, as the BRB 'Bookie' and after the uproar at the last indaba; there's some serious 'head-scratching' to be done, lest I lose my shirt. 'Tis essentially nothing more than a four horse race; with 'support' runners in the pack to create interference and distraction – nuisance value – 'legal' credibility; when the judges call the game.
Is the deck 'stacked' ? – of course it is; always was.
As you may glean from the video; and, if you cannot spot a 'stacked deck' or an 'agreed' race outcome; you too have 'lost your shirt' if you were silly enough to play beyond three hands. But, back to the race which must be run – and 'soon'. Before next Senate Estimates. Someone is going to end up snookered, deep in the sand trap at fence four. Who? The 'Tote' is open (at BRB behest).
Interference – 110/1.
Distraction – 100/1.
Department support 70/1.
So much for the 'life preservers'. About furlong three you will spot the blue cap of the Minister with a shotgun; decimating the 'support' as they clear the second fence; this stacked 'deck' has 'Bias – by Us' writ all over it. Makes sense the minuscule must be protected; or, failing that, sort it out for herself – she ain't running; but has some pretty heavy bets to cover - with 'the Mob'. Losing is, most definitely, definitely, not an option, what with the Qantas fiasco having her job on a razors edge; (just don't mention Qatar).
“Remember not only to say the right thing in the right place, but far more difficult still, to leave unsaid the wrong thing at the tempting moment.”
So, to the field – I should explain that the 'Sand-trap' is camouflaged; and deceptive. A classic 'Steeplechase' is made up thus:-
“The steeplechase is 3000 m long with four barriers and one water pit per lap. The water pit is a barrier followed by a 3.66-m long water pit, typically about 0.7 m at the deepest point (Fig. 1). A steeplechaser encounters a total of 28 barriers and seven water pit jumps during the race.”
Now; to cover the ministerial derrière; one of four entrants must complete the course – in primus': secundus may survive the knackers yard; but third and fourth are well buggered. This is a winner take all event; with secundus having to behave properly and fall in line. Only four entrants worthy of consideration; to wit:-
(1) Suspenders – an ageing filly, a known ditherer at high fences and reluctant to tackle the water barrier; not known for speed or finishing power; and, unhappy when ridden hard. Use of the 'whip' strongly discouraged as it leads to loss of direction and a slowing pace due to a sensitive nature which takes umbrage and sulks. Not a 'front runner' in any competition and the head jockey has departed the fix. 6/1 on the Tote.
(2) 'Popinjay' – Muddied bloodlines and some eccentric 'mores' make this showboat a temptation for those who like good odds – 16/1 on the board. Basically, this entrant is, on the record, as one of limited ability, a 'pace maker' (meant to loose) against other more likely prospects. Got lucky and had a couple of 'wins' in second tier starts and attracted some support as a pliable , willing second place to better horses. Bookies can influence the 'selected' races; and, what should have been relegated to the 'Ladies riding school' is given a big wrap up and off sent into races to 'assist' with the odds. For some reason, the 'connections' hold hope that their gelding can escape the knackers yard. anything better than 4/1 is reasonable odds.
(3) Stable name 'Halfwit' – on track race name, Dollar Blower. This gelded, prancing 'No-Pal o Mino has had more starts than Clancy; and, cost his backers dearly. Despite the groomed, coiffured polish. At the end of every race the 'excuses' become fact; never mind the incredible amounts punted and lost backing this show pony; when push comes to shove and the 'big' questions are asked; there is no way I can offer better than 'odds on' for the sacrificial lamb. At those odds, even retirement before starters gun leads to the knackers bolt.
(4) One slot left – Each Way Beta: a safe one at each-way. This is a serious contender to avoid the sand trap. The 'owed' support on track will be ferocious. Figure it out, if (big one) this horse stumbles or ducks it up, it will take many, many ardent supporters jobs with it – one of them being the ministerial one. This squirming, wriggling excuse for a thoroughbred has the support required to slither home without getting anywhere near the water barrier, let alone the dreaded sand trap. A bet of five will win you one – 5/1 odds on.
You see boys and girls there's Hell to pay across the board; Croc Eggs and Broome; Sea-world; for examples. ATSB an international embarrassment; CASA – well what can you say. Air 'Services' (tongue in cheek). Basket cases all – the minister, under severe, sensible, righteous 'pressure' from McKenzie – aided and abetted by Fawcett. Government is batting against an aligned industry, historical and current data and fact, clearly defining the total fiasco (Balls up) the 'support' system for the aviation industry has to endure
“I learned long ago never to predict. All you can do is influence what you can and endure the rest.”
So that is, as they say, a 'wrap' – the Sandpit Cup and odds. The only certain thing is that somewhere, somehow, someone is going to catch all the blame and a metaphorical bullet (the sack in Oz parlance). That will be parlayed into a 'problem' solver. IT A'INT. It may fool some of the people, some of the time and etc. But unless government get a grip and bring in some 'professional' help; Sea world, Broome, and a dozen other aberrations (like Quadrio; like Ross Air, and like Pel Air and Par Avion and the Hawksebury fatal, to mention but a few, & etc... It is a very long list, a very long list indeed; one of bull shit in action, covering the appalling lack of 'quality' in government ranks.-
“Politicians are a lot like diapers. They should be changed frequently, and for the same reasons.”
Time to call up the fur bearing crew; they've had a quiet day while the radio plays the cricket (can't watch the TV). I made a workshop set of drawers while listening to the 'Test' – rough timber – off cuts discarded from 'other' work – but 'twill suffice; just big enough to park on the workbench with 'bits and pieces' like dovetail templates and other stuff which can never be found – when needed. Even found some nice little draw pulls to fit – so for the moment; tidy workshop. Now then; 'Away' and off they go – 'the pup' at six months – faster by a furlong – the first one any way – but it can run; 'quick' would an appropriate descriptor.; but, there's terrier in there, somewhere.
Selah..........
It is a 'classic' summer evening; sea breeze, birds settling in for the night, sun setting (as it should) toward the West, BRB notes all sorted and the Australians won at cricket- Perfect.
"Oh, how beautiful is the summer night, which is not night, but a sunless, yet unclouded, day, descending upon earth with dews and shadows and refreshing coolness! How beautiful the long mild twilight, which, like a silver clasp, unites today with yesterday! "
I have a freshly pulled cool Ale and the stable doors are wide open, the 'beasts' are fed and watered. Perfect – DT has salad and the chops are cooked – what could possibly trouble my evening? - The 'Sand Trap' Cup is what.. Aye, smile if you will, but, as the BRB 'Bookie' and after the uproar at the last indaba; there's some serious 'head-scratching' to be done, lest I lose my shirt. 'Tis essentially nothing more than a four horse race; with 'support' runners in the pack to create interference and distraction – nuisance value – 'legal' credibility; when the judges call the game.
Is the deck 'stacked' ? – of course it is; always was.
As you may glean from the video; and, if you cannot spot a 'stacked deck' or an 'agreed' race outcome; you too have 'lost your shirt' if you were silly enough to play beyond three hands. But, back to the race which must be run – and 'soon'. Before next Senate Estimates. Someone is going to end up snookered, deep in the sand trap at fence four. Who? The 'Tote' is open (at BRB behest).
Interference – 110/1.
Distraction – 100/1.
Department support 70/1.
So much for the 'life preservers'. About furlong three you will spot the blue cap of the Minister with a shotgun; decimating the 'support' as they clear the second fence; this stacked 'deck' has 'Bias – by Us' writ all over it. Makes sense the minuscule must be protected; or, failing that, sort it out for herself – she ain't running; but has some pretty heavy bets to cover - with 'the Mob'. Losing is, most definitely, definitely, not an option, what with the Qantas fiasco having her job on a razors edge; (just don't mention Qatar).
“Remember not only to say the right thing in the right place, but far more difficult still, to leave unsaid the wrong thing at the tempting moment.”
So, to the field – I should explain that the 'Sand-trap' is camouflaged; and deceptive. A classic 'Steeplechase' is made up thus:-
“The steeplechase is 3000 m long with four barriers and one water pit per lap. The water pit is a barrier followed by a 3.66-m long water pit, typically about 0.7 m at the deepest point (Fig. 1). A steeplechaser encounters a total of 28 barriers and seven water pit jumps during the race.”
Now; to cover the ministerial derrière; one of four entrants must complete the course – in primus': secundus may survive the knackers yard; but third and fourth are well buggered. This is a winner take all event; with secundus having to behave properly and fall in line. Only four entrants worthy of consideration; to wit:-
(1) Suspenders – an ageing filly, a known ditherer at high fences and reluctant to tackle the water barrier; not known for speed or finishing power; and, unhappy when ridden hard. Use of the 'whip' strongly discouraged as it leads to loss of direction and a slowing pace due to a sensitive nature which takes umbrage and sulks. Not a 'front runner' in any competition and the head jockey has departed the fix. 6/1 on the Tote.
(2) 'Popinjay' – Muddied bloodlines and some eccentric 'mores' make this showboat a temptation for those who like good odds – 16/1 on the board. Basically, this entrant is, on the record, as one of limited ability, a 'pace maker' (meant to loose) against other more likely prospects. Got lucky and had a couple of 'wins' in second tier starts and attracted some support as a pliable , willing second place to better horses. Bookies can influence the 'selected' races; and, what should have been relegated to the 'Ladies riding school' is given a big wrap up and off sent into races to 'assist' with the odds. For some reason, the 'connections' hold hope that their gelding can escape the knackers yard. anything better than 4/1 is reasonable odds.
(3) Stable name 'Halfwit' – on track race name, Dollar Blower. This gelded, prancing 'No-Pal o Mino has had more starts than Clancy; and, cost his backers dearly. Despite the groomed, coiffured polish. At the end of every race the 'excuses' become fact; never mind the incredible amounts punted and lost backing this show pony; when push comes to shove and the 'big' questions are asked; there is no way I can offer better than 'odds on' for the sacrificial lamb. At those odds, even retirement before starters gun leads to the knackers bolt.
(4) One slot left – Each Way Beta: a safe one at each-way. This is a serious contender to avoid the sand trap. The 'owed' support on track will be ferocious. Figure it out, if (big one) this horse stumbles or ducks it up, it will take many, many ardent supporters jobs with it – one of them being the ministerial one. This squirming, wriggling excuse for a thoroughbred has the support required to slither home without getting anywhere near the water barrier, let alone the dreaded sand trap. A bet of five will win you one – 5/1 odds on.
You see boys and girls there's Hell to pay across the board; Croc Eggs and Broome; Sea-world; for examples. ATSB an international embarrassment; CASA – well what can you say. Air 'Services' (tongue in cheek). Basket cases all – the minister, under severe, sensible, righteous 'pressure' from McKenzie – aided and abetted by Fawcett. Government is batting against an aligned industry, historical and current data and fact, clearly defining the total fiasco (Balls up) the 'support' system for the aviation industry has to endure
“I learned long ago never to predict. All you can do is influence what you can and endure the rest.”
So that is, as they say, a 'wrap' – the Sandpit Cup and odds. The only certain thing is that somewhere, somehow, someone is going to catch all the blame and a metaphorical bullet (the sack in Oz parlance). That will be parlayed into a 'problem' solver. IT A'INT. It may fool some of the people, some of the time and etc. But unless government get a grip and bring in some 'professional' help; Sea world, Broome, and a dozen other aberrations (like Quadrio; like Ross Air, and like Pel Air and Par Avion and the Hawksebury fatal, to mention but a few, & etc... It is a very long list, a very long list indeed; one of bull shit in action, covering the appalling lack of 'quality' in government ranks.-
“Politicians are a lot like diapers. They should be changed frequently, and for the same reasons.”
Time to call up the fur bearing crew; they've had a quiet day while the radio plays the cricket (can't watch the TV). I made a workshop set of drawers while listening to the 'Test' – rough timber – off cuts discarded from 'other' work – but 'twill suffice; just big enough to park on the workbench with 'bits and pieces' like dovetail templates and other stuff which can never be found – when needed. Even found some nice little draw pulls to fit – so for the moment; tidy workshop. Now then; 'Away' and off they go – 'the pup' at six months – faster by a furlong – the first one any way – but it can run; 'quick' would an appropriate descriptor.; but, there's terrier in there, somewhere.
Selah..........