[Peetwo]

https://mh370.radiantphysics.com/2024/03...ment-36091

ventus45 says:

March 5, 2024 at 11:47 pm

@Peter Norton, @Barry Carlson

I basically agree with your sentiment’s gentlemen.

It was clear to many after only a few weeks that Malaysia did not want it found. I think it is clear that Malaysia still does not want it found, recent chest beating notwithstanding.

The early dumping of AMSA for Dolan’s ATSB, the ‘driving of the search north’, and the subsequent creation of the JACC (with Houston for PR ‘street cred’ cover), all had a faintly unpleasant odor about it, (to some of us local natives at the time) which seemed to be driven, more by the perceived need not to contradict, annoy or (God forbid) embarrass Malaysia, diplomatically, than with actually getting on with the job of finding the plane. It became a political / media circus.

The Chinese weren’t impressed either, especially when their IL-76’s were prevented from searching where their own satellites showed target of interest (deep south west end of the search area, plus a bit further). They packed up and went home pretty smartly after that little episode, and their official attitude has been one of ‘studied indifference’ ever since.

If you go back through contemporary ‘Senate Estimates’ hearings, (some of which are still available on YouTube) you will find that most of the time the dear Senators were asking more about ‘how much is this costing’ than anything else. In fact, they even questioned the ATSB’s choice of Fugro, (since they had ‘representations’ from some ‘aggrieved parties’ who strongly suggested that the ATSB had not selected the best offer that was tendered for the search contract), either on technical grounds, or on financial (best value for money for the Commonwealth) grounds.

It was in this political climate, that the phrase ‘credible new evidence’ came into being.

In all probability, it was undoubtedly created by a sly Australian public servant within the Australian Treasury, as a barrier, an impossible hurdle to hurdle, that would give the Government an excuse to stop spending any further money on any further searches.

The Malaysian Government loved it, and adopted it, as their ‘get out of (further searching) jail card’.

Money is still the public Malaysian issue.

In the multiple press conferences and short interviews the other day, the Malaysian Transport Minister kept repeating that any contract proposal had to ‘go to Cabinet’ because of the financial implications.

Most people mistakenly interpret that to mean the cost of the new search (if it occurs). Such costs would be a mere drop in the bucket, a few tens of millions, nothing more than loose change to a nation.

But that is only a ruse for the media and the NoK, it is not the real issue at all.

The real issue is that if the aircraft were to be found, and if the investigation proved that either the Airline or the Captain was culpable, the financial implications would be huge, and the political and diplomatic damage would be substantial.

I think it is clear that Malaysia never wanted 9M-MRO found, still don’t, and never will, for those reasons.

Now, that leads into their current problem, how to handle the building calls for ‘another search’.

At this point, I have to declare my hand clearly, (for those who may not be aware).

I am embedded in the deliberately piloted flight to the ‘deep south’ camp, specifically, into the GFZ.
I have never accepted that drift studies of the Flaperon confirm 35 South (give or take two or three).
I do not have a gut acceptance of WSPR technology either.

Now, since the Malaysia Government can not afford for MH370 to be found, (for the reasons above), handling calls or a new search becomes an exercise in political damage control for Malaysia, pure and simple, nothing else matters to them.

In my opinion, the Malaysian Government will only ever ‘reluctantly’ agree to a new search, (for PR brownie points only) in an area that their own information tells them it can’t possibly be, because they must be absolutely certain, in their own minds, that the search will certainly fail, and that OI will end up with egg on their face, yet again, before they sign any new contract.

They will ‘reluctantly’ sign contracts in the north, but only if they have to, for PR reasons alone.

Now, hypothetically, consider what would happen if the IG suddenly came out with some miracle reinterpretation of the ISAT data, that re-confirmed the absolute certainty of the initial positions near 38/39/40 South !!

Would all ‘the pilots’ suddenly get a fair hearing ? All of them are down there, Hardy, Keane, Bailey, and others.

MTF...P2