[Peetwo]

Captain's Log 01.01.17: HSSS archive entry 170101

References:

From 'that man' in the Oz today writes that the AFAP (Australia's biggest pilot association) is amongst other pilot groups and aircraft accident investigators calling for the MH370 SIO search to continue..

‘Don’t abandon MH370 search’
12:00amEAN HIGGINS
Pilots and crash investigators have warned against allowing Malaysia to ‘get away’ with not continuing the MH370 hunt.

What now for the JIT Annex13 MH370 investigation?

All excellent OBS from "V" & the Gobbledock but what will it mean when the final Fugro ship leaves the SIO 7th Arc area?

"V" mentions international conventions and although I'm a little hazy on the maritime conventions I am a little bit more cognisant of the aviation conventions that being ICAO SARPs, in particular Annex 12 & 13.

It is my understanding that at the moment Annex 13 continues to hold the primacy of both the MH370 'search & recovery' and indeed the investigation...

...Ok so coming back to my original question - in line with 'international conventions', by rights this should mean the Malaysian JIT Annex 13 investigation can continue. Supposedly the investigation has been in some sort of holding pattern, so now the investigation formalities can be completed and the JIT can move to drafting a final report for DIP (directly interested parties) review.

The review process could be lengthy considering the numerous and influential parties involved and the vagaries of what is effectively an incomplete and inconclusive investigation...

However given most DIPs have representatives involved in either (or both) the SSWG and the JIT it is highly probable there has been much discussion already on the final make up and conclusions of a final report, based on not finding MH370. 

My best guess for the FR would be within 6 months. However as has been shown throughout the whole Malaysian MH370 (cock-up/cover-up) debacle, this is a very tentative best guess and I will not be surprised if there is another twist in the tale...

MH370 & what now speculation rife?

A few further entries to the great MH370 what now debate: On the 1st SBG for 2017 EIC P9 speculates that it is all over bar the shouting...

"..By the end of this year, 370 will be a dim, distant memory to the majority – “Oh, was that the one disappeared all those years ago - more tea Vicar?– did they ever find it?.."

And in comments off the Higgins last Friday piece, general consensus runs along the same vein that we gave it a shot, time to move on:

Richard

I would have thought this accident could be pinned on a member of the flight crew without finding the cockpit voice recorder, which might, only might, indicate who was at the controls. It may have been turned off as well. Finding any other wreckage won't show who is at the controls and what they where thinking. I think we've given it a good go, spent enough, it time to say it's the end.

Although I find the comment from Andrew of why they stuck with searching that one little box a bit bizarre and bereft of all rational reasoning or intelligent thought:

Andrew

Perhaps Mike Keane needs to be reminded that the ATSB did consider the argument of a controlled glide/ditching. That analysis resulted in a search area so vast that it could not be properly searched with the available resources. They stuck with the unresponsive crew theory because the available evidence indicated it was (and still is) a distinct possibility and because it also yielded a search area that could actually be managed. What were they supposed to do, sit back and do nothing?

Imagine for a minute if AMSA was to scope their SAR operations down to one small box because: "..Oh we don't have the available resources for anymore than that.."

However back to ToRs and I personally feel that there is bugger all chance that committed MH370 followers and truth seekers will easily let the slimy bureaucrats and pollywaffles slink off to their Latte wankfests or 5 star taxpayer funded lunches, without so much as a brouhaha...

Besides the speculation and private search effort rumours continues, this time with another insightful but more generalised article from Barbara Peterson off the excellent publication Popular Mechanics... :

2016 Was the Year of the Unsolved Plane Crash
Several incidents, including MH370, remain troublingly unresolved.


   
By Barbara Peterson
Dec 29, 2016
 
By Barbara Peterson
Dec 29, 2016
[/url]
As 2016 winds to a close, a last gasp gets under way. In a faraway corner of the Southern Hemisphere the deep-sea search vessel Fugro Equator begins what will likely be the last journey in an apparently fruitless $200 million quest to find the wreckage of Malaysia Airlines Flight 370.

No one really expects this foray to find the remains of the missing Boeing 777, which disappeared nearly three years ago. In fact, a recent review by experts concluded investigators may have been [url=http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2016/12/20/mh370-wrong-search-area/]searching in the wrong place all along. When the voyage ends in early January, the three nations backing the search— Malaysia, China and Australia—have signaled they'll pull the plug on the entire mission unless new evidence surfaces.

That decision has enraged not only the families of the 239 people aboard MH370 but also aviation professionals, who argue that leaving a high-profile disaster unsolved is itself a threat to aviation safety. The president of the Australian Federation of Air Pilots, David Booth, cited the importance of recovering the wreckage of every single plane crash to determine the cause, and said the global aviation industry should rally to "fund a search of all feasible areas."

It's easy to see why flying pros are so concerned. MH370 may be the most famous unsolved mystery of the past few years, but it's for from the only major aviation accident that hasn't been resolved, at least to the satisfaction of safety experts.

The October 2015 explosion of a Metrojet A321 bound for St. Petersburg over the Sinai Peninsula was deemed to be an act of terrorism after an ISIS group took credit. But more than a year later, many questions persist about how, or even if, a bomb was smuggled past security onto a civilian airliner—and if it was an inside job, as some reports have suggested. The jet carried 224 people, mostly from Russia. That country's aviation investigators quickly descended on the scene and concluded from the evidence that an act of sabotage had brought down the plane. Egyptian officials, meanwhile, at first dismissed the bomb theory as an attempt to damage their already faltering tourism business.

The crash of Egyptair Flight 804 in the Mediterranean last May has also resulted in a spate of contradictory statements and accusations. Although Egyptian investigators recently said that traces of explosives were found on some of the 66 victims, whose bodies were retrieved from the bottom of the sea, the causes remain a mystery. Because the flight originated in Paris, the insinuation that a bomb got through French security has roiled relations between the countries. French investigators have accused the Egyptians of skewing the evidence to pin blame on another country.

"The motives of some of those involved (in the probes) can leave you speechless," said John Goglia, a safety consultant and former member of the National Transportation Safety Board. "Most Western countries have laws designed to keep politics out of air crash investigations. But that is not the case in much of the rest of the world."

While the NTSB is not a party to any of these open investigations, a source at the agency did acknowledge that the political interference in these matters is a troubling trend, especially at a time when air crash fatalities are at an all-time low. "We don't often have a lot of major investigations involving Western-built aircraft," he said.

As for MH370, Goglia said that even though the official government funding for the search has run out, that doesn't mean the quest for answers is over.

"The search will continue," he said, "but it will be a privately run," most likely with Boeing taking the lead. "It'll be smaller and more focused, but that's probably better." He noted the similarity to the 1987 crash of a South African Airways 747, also in the southern Indian Ocean. The plane was eventually recovered after years of searching from depths of 16,000 feet.

    
Hmmm....interesting


I dare say much MTF..P2