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Captain's Log 10.01.17: Rosenker the realist -

Via the Daily Telegraph... :

Hope of finding missing flight MH370 all but gone
[img=0x0]http://pixel.tcog.cp1.news.com.au/track/component/article/38fc2ca8e58c11cecb5d76a0ce093a5a?esi=true&t_template=s3/chronicle-tg_tlc_storyheader/index&t_product=DailyTelegraph&td_device=desktop[/img]Joshua Dowling, News Corp Australia Network
January 8, 2017 10:00pm
[img=0x0]http://pixel.tcog.cp1.news.com.au/track/component/article/38fc2ca8e58c11cecb5d76a0ce093a5a?esi=true&t_template=s3/chronicle-tg_tlc_storymeta/index&t_product=DailyTelegraph&td_device=desktop[/img]
US air safety expert and former National Transport Safety Bureau chairman Mark Rosenker says we won’t find Malaysia Airlines MH370, which went missing over the Indian Ocean more than 1000 days ago.

National Transport Safety Bureau chairman Mark Rosenker says we won’t find Malaysia Airlines MH370, which went missing over the Indian Ocean more than 1000 days ago.

Mr Rosenker, a former US Airforce Reserve Major General and the head of the NTSB from 2006 to 2009, said finding the aircraft, and what happened to the 239 passengers and crew on the fateful flight on 8 March 2014, would now be next to impossible given the vast search area and the time lost looking in the wrong place.

“I am always an optimist but there comes a point, particularly if the aircraft is where they now believe it could be, I don’t know if we’re going to be able to get to it. I’ve never seen anything like this,” Mr Rosenker told News Corp Australia at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, where he presented a report on autonomous cars.

Flight officer Rayan Gharazeddine scans the water in 2014 in the southern Indian Ocean off Australia during a search for the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370. Picture: AP/Rob Griffith

“Working in water is very challenging for the investigative bodies but I believed, early on, we would probably be able to find it based on the reports that were coming from the investigative bodies, the search and recovery people, the belief that we had found the pings (intermittent communication between satellites and the aircraft).”

However, Mr Rosenker said, the aircraft crash investigation world was “ultimately really disappointed … when found that they weren’t what we thought they were”.

When asked if the limited co-operation from Malaysian authorities in the early stages of the search was a critical setback, Mr Rosenker said: “In the beginning it was horrific. I can’t think of a worse textbook study on how not to do a co-operative effort with a global accident situation, it was terrible. But I think they’ve learned from it and as a result they are much better today than they were 1000 days ago”.

Did the Malaysian authorities allow national pride to get in the way of the search effort in the initial stages?

“I’m not sure it was pride as much as it was recognition and competence,” said Mr Rosenker. “They didn’t understand the implications of what had happened here and what would be necessary to do a co-operative search and rescue and recovery effort.”

When asked if he had a theory on whether MH370 was brought down due to an act of terror or a catastrophic malfunction, Mr Rosenker said: “I have no idea. There are hundreds of things that could have happened from terrorism to an anomaly on board the aircraft. And terrorism meaning the pilot, or somebody else doing something.”

Mr Rosenker said he was still keeping an open mind about the cause of the crash, despite the countless theories.

A Royal Australian Air Force AP-3C Orion from 92 Wing, conducts a low level fly by before dropping stores to HMAS Toowoomba, during Operation SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN in search for the missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370. Picture: Supplied

“There are hundreds of potential causes for what happened. Each is valuable, each is as equitable as the other,” he said.

Mr Rosenker said that authorities did “incredible computer modelling” to mirror the Inmarsat satellite attempts to do a “handshake” with the aircraft, but the false readings led searchers to the wrong area.

“The point they believed it was in — the area that in fact had been marked off — they came to the conclusion they have been looking in the wrong place,” he said.

Mr Rosenker estimates more than $200 million has been spent on the search so far.

“The expense is incredible. We’re talking about $200 million in search, perhaps more. The important thing is to understand what happened (to the aircraft) so we can prevent it from happening again.”

Since retiring from the NTSB, Mr Rosenker has overseen a study into the rollout of autonomous vehicle technology, and is also on the board of directors for a Canadian company called FLYHT, which specialises in supplying real time tracking of aircraft to the airline industry.

So does this mean the ATSB led and Malaysian manipulated & obfuscated endgame for MH370 has been ultimately successful -

MTF...P2